What is a Morning Star Pattern?
Quick Answer: Morning Star is a three-candle bullish reversal pattern appearing at downtrend bottoms, consisting of a bearish candle, a small-bodied star, and a strong bullish candle.
Understanding Morning Star Pattern
Morning Star is a three-candle bullish reversal pattern that appears at the bottom of downtrends, signaling potential trend exhaustion and upward reversal. The pattern consists of a large bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle or doji (the star) that gaps down, and finally a strong bullish candle that closes well into the first candle's body. The morning star suggests bears are losing control and bulls are gaining strength, hence the metaphor of morning breaking after a dark night.
Morning Star
Found at bottom of downtrend - Bullish reversal pattern
Key Characteristics:
- First: Large bearish candle (downtrend continues)
- Second: Small body (star) - gaps down from first
- Third: Large bullish candle - closes into first candle
- Star color doesn't matter (often doji)
- Third candle should close above midpoint of first
Signal Strength:
Strong bullish reversal - the three-act story shows clear shift from bearish to bullish control
The Three-Act Story:
Act 1 (Bearish candle): Downtrend continues with strong selling pressure.
Act 2 (Star): Small body gaps down, showing exhaustion. Neither bulls nor bears have control - indecision at the lows.
Act 3 (Bullish candle): Bulls take over decisively, pushing price back up into the range of the first candle. The reversal is confirmed.
Trading the Morning Star:
- • Best at support after extended downtrend
- • Entry on close of third candle or break above pattern high
- • Stop loss below the star (second candle) low
- • Stronger when star gaps down and third gaps up
- • Volume should increase on third candle
Pattern Structure and Recognition
The first candle is a strong bearish move confirming the existing downtrend. The second candle opens with a gap down but closes near its open, forming a small real body that reflects market indecision—bears can't push further. The third candle opens higher and closes strongly into the first candle's range, demonstrating bullish conviction. Ideally, the third candle's close recovers more than 50% of the first candle's decline. Higher volume on the third candle strengthens the signal.
Trading Morning Star Reversals
USD/JPY forms a morning star at 148.50 support after a two-week decline. The pattern completes with a strong bullish engulfing candle. Traders enter long at 148.70 with stops below the pattern low at 148.20, targeting the prior resistance at 150.00 for a favorable 2.6:1 risk-reward ratio.
Confirmation and Context
Don't trade morning stars in isolation. The pattern gains significance when forming at key support levels, Fibonacci retracements, or previous swing lows. Look for bullish divergence in RSI or MACD as additional confirmation. The opposite pattern is the Evening Star, which signals bearish reversals at tops. Wait for the pattern to complete fully before entering—premature entry on the second candle carries higher failure risk.
Not All Morning Stars Succeed
Morning stars in strong downtrends without support confluence have lower success rates. The pattern needs context—a clean level, prior structure, or technical confirmation. Always use stops below the pattern low to protect against failures.
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