What is a Market Cycle?

Cycle
Forex Trading Glossary

Quick Answer: A market cycle moves through accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown phases, guiding strategy selection.

What is a Market Cycle?

A market cycle describes recurring phases of accumulation, uptrend, distribution, and downtrend. Recognizing cycles helps traders align strategies with the dominant phase.

Cycle Phases

  • Accumulation: Smart money builds positions quietly.
  • Markup: Price trends higher as demand increases.
  • Distribution: Large players scale out near highs.
  • Markdown: Price declines as supply overwhelms demand.

Tools for Cycle Analysis

Combine moving averages, volume clues, and sentiment data to determine which phase is in control.

Trading the Cycle

  • Align strategy: Use trend-following during markup and markdown, range strategies during accumulation and distribution.
  • Scale entries: Accumulate positions when new cycle phases begin.
  • Manage expectations: Strategies that worked last phase may fail in the next.
  • Stay flexible: Reassess cycle placement after major data releases.

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