What is a Death Cross?
Death Cross
Forex Trading Glossary
Quick Answer: A death cross occurs when a short-term moving average drops below a long-term moving average, confirming bearish momentum.
What is a Death Cross?
A death cross occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average, signaling potential downside momentum. The classic version uses the 50-day average crossing below the 200-day average.
Key Points
- Trend confirmation: Works best in conjunction with price breaking support.
- Lagging indicator: It confirms a trend change rather than predicting it.
- Timeframe choice: Daily charts are standard, but traders adapt to 4-hour or weekly as needed.
- Volume filter: Rising volume on the crossover strengthens the signal.
Avoid Whipsaws
Confirm the death cross with additional evidence such as lower highs or macro deterioration.
Trade Management
- Entry: Enter short positions after the crossover and a break of recent support.
- Stop placement: Above the recent swing high or moving average.
- Targeting: Use measured moves or trailing stops to ride extended declines.
- Combine with fundamentals: Align with bearish macro trends for higher conviction.
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