What is On-Balance Volume (OBV)?
Quick Answer: On-Balance Volume is a momentum indicator using cumulative volume flow to predict price changes, adding volume on up days and subtracting it on down days.
Understanding On-Balance Volume (OBV)
On-Balance Volume (OBV) is a momentum indicator developed by Joe Granville that uses volume flow to predict changes in price. It operates on the premise that volume precedes price—smart money accumulates positions before major price moves, which OBV reveals. The indicator maintains a cumulative total, adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days, creating a running tally that shows whether volume is flowing into or out of an asset.
Interpreting OBV Signals
A rising OBV reflects positive volume pressure, suggesting accumulation and potential price increases ahead. Falling OBV indicates distribution and potential price declines. The absolute value of OBV matters less than its direction and divergences. When OBV rises while price consolidates, it suggests underlying strength and potential bullish breakout. When OBV falls while price rallies, it warns of weak momentum and possible reversal. OBV confirmation of price trends validates their strength.
OBV Divergence Signal
EUR/USD makes higher highs at 1.1050 and 1.1075, but OBV makes lower highs over the same period. This bearish divergence suggests weakening buying pressure despite rising prices, warning of potential reversal. Traders prepare to exit longs or initiate shorts.
Trading Applications
Use OBV to confirm breakouts—a breakout accompanied by surging OBV has higher probability of success than one on declining volume. Monitor OBV trend breaks as early warnings for price trend changes. Divergences between OBV and price offer high-probability reversal signals. Combine OBV with RSI or MACD for convergent signals. OBV works across all timeframes but is most reliable on daily charts and above.
Volume Data Limitations in Forex
Since forex is decentralized, broker-provided volume represents only their order flow, not the entire market. OBV signals in forex should be weighted less heavily than in centralized markets. Use tick volume as a proxy and confirm with other indicators.
Related Terms
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