What is an Exhaustion Gap?
Quick Answer: An exhaustion gap appears near the end of a trend when price gaps beyond prior extremes but quickly fails, signaling trend fatigue and potential reversal.
Understanding Exhaustion Gaps
An exhaustion gap occurs near the end of a trend when price gaps beyond prior extremes but fails to follow through, signaling waning momentum and potential reversal.
Spotting Exhaustion
Look for gaps after prolonged runs, especially if accompanied by spikes in volume and momentum divergence. Reversal candles or springs around the gap provide confirmation.
Trade Plan
Aggressive traders fade the gap with stops beyond the extreme; conservative traders wait for a break back into the prior range and target mean reversion levels.
Risk Control
Gaps can appear during illiquid periods or news events. Always monitor the economic calendar and size positions defensively, because follow-through can still occur if you misread the context.
News-Driven Gaps
Not every gap is exhaustion; sometimes it reflects new information. Validate with fundamentals before fading aggressive moves.
Practical Playbook
- Define context on higher timeframes, then execute on intraday charts.
- Wait for confirmation (acceptance, momentum, or confluence) before entry.
- Size positions conservatively and place stops at clear invalidation levels.
- Adapt to session dynamics; conditions shift between Asia, London, and New York.
Common Pitfalls
- Forcing trades without alignment across timeframe, structure, and catalyst.
- Ignoring spreads/slippage during news or thin liquidity.
- Moving stops or adding to losers instead of honoring the plan.
Illustrative Example
Build a simple playbook: identify bias, mark key zones/levels, define triggers and invalidation, and pre‑set targets for 2–3R. Journal results by session and setup to refine rules. Over time, consistency—not prediction—drives outcomes.
Practical Playbook
- Define context on higher timeframes, then execute on intraday charts.
- Wait for confirmation (acceptance, momentum, or confluence) before entry.
- Size positions conservatively and place stops at clear invalidation levels.
- Adapt to session dynamics; conditions shift between Asia, London, and New York.
Common Pitfalls
- Forcing trades without alignment across timeframe, structure, and catalyst.
- Ignoring spreads/slippage during news or thin liquidity.
- Moving stops or adding to losers instead of honoring the plan.
Illustrative Example
Build a simple playbook: identify bias, mark key zones/levels, define triggers and invalidation, and pre‑set targets for 2–3R. Journal results by session and setup to refine rules. Over time, consistency—not prediction—drives outcomes.
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