What is a Price Spike?
Quick Answer: A spike is a sudden, sharp price move often triggered by news or order imbalances, leaving long wicks that can trap traders.
Understanding Price Spikes
A spike is a sudden, sharp price move often triggered by news, order imbalances, or thin liquidity. Spikes create long wicks and can trap traders on the wrong side.
Interpreting Spikes
Upward spikes into resistance or liquidity voids may signal stop hunts. Downward spikes into demand can mark capitulation. Watch order flow and follow-through to judge significance.
Fade or Follow?
Fade spikes when they occur against the dominant trend and quickly reverse; ride them when they align with trend and break key levels with volume.
Risk Management
Always use stops when trading around high-impact events. Slippage can be severe, so reduce size or avoid trading during known news catalysts if you lack fast execution.
Avoid Revenge Trading
Spikes can trigger emotional responses. After unexpected moves, pause and reassess rather than chasing price impulsively.
Practical Playbook
- Define context on higher timeframes, then execute on intraday charts.
- Wait for confirmation (acceptance, momentum, or confluence) before entry.
- Size positions conservatively and place stops at clear invalidation levels.
- Adapt to session dynamics; conditions shift between Asia, London, and New York.
Common Pitfalls
- Forcing trades without alignment across timeframe, structure, and catalyst.
- Ignoring spreads/slippage during news or thin liquidity.
- Moving stops or adding to losers instead of honoring the plan.
Illustrative Example
Build a simple playbook: identify bias, mark key zones/levels, define triggers and invalidation, and pre‑set targets for 2–3R. Journal results by session and setup to refine rules. Over time, consistency—not prediction—drives outcomes.
Practical Playbook
- Define context on higher timeframes, then execute on intraday charts.
- Wait for confirmation (acceptance, momentum, or confluence) before entry.
- Size positions conservatively and place stops at clear invalidation levels.
- Adapt to session dynamics; conditions shift between Asia, London, and New York.
Common Pitfalls
- Forcing trades without alignment across timeframe, structure, and catalyst.
- Ignoring spreads/slippage during news or thin liquidity.
- Moving stops or adding to losers instead of honoring the plan.
Illustrative Example
Build a simple playbook: identify bias, mark key zones/levels, define triggers and invalidation, and pre‑set targets for 2–3R. Journal results by session and setup to refine rules. Over time, consistency—not prediction—drives outcomes.
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